Climate for Station: Minsk, Belarus

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Climate Analysis & Overview

Minsk's climate is experiencing a nuanced shift with a slight warming trend in high temperatures and a marginal cooling in lows over the past decade. Precipitation patterns are becoming slightly more concentrated, indicating potential changes in rainfall distribution. These shifts occur against the backdrop of Belarus's climate goals, which aim to mitigate the impacts of climate change.

Continental Climate Dynamics

Minsk, located at 53.87°N, 27.53°E, is characterised by a humid continental climate, classified under the Köppen system as Dfb. This classification denotes cold, snowy winters and warm, humid summers. The city's geography, situated in the flat plains of Belarus, lacks significant geographical barriers such as mountains or large bodies of water, which means that weather patterns are largely influenced by continental air masses.

Temperature Trends: A Tale of Two Intervals

Over the past decade, Minsk has seen a warming trend in high temperatures, with an increase of 1.04°C (1.87°F). Conversely, low temperatures have experienced a cooling trend, decreasing by 0.50°C (0.90°F). This divergence in short-term trends contrasts with the all-time data, where both highs and lows have shown a warming trend of 0.26°C (0.47°F) and 0.22°C (0.40°F), respectively. The current maximum temperature record stands at 35.8°C (96.4°F), while the minimum is a frigid -39.1°C (-38.4°F).

Precipitation Patterns: A Subtle Shift

The Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) for Minsk has shown a slight increase from a baseline of 11.67 to a current value of 12.07. This indicates a marginal shift towards more concentrated precipitation events, suggesting that rainfall may be occurring in fewer, more intense episodes. While this change is not drastic, it could have implications for local water management and agricultural practices.

Regional Climate Context

Belarus has been proactive in addressing climate change, with national goals aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions and enhancing resilience to climate impacts. The observed trends in Minsk's climate data align with broader regional patterns, where warming temperatures and changing precipitation dynamics are common themes. Recent weather events, such as heatwaves and heavy rainfall, highlight the importance of understanding these trends for future planning and adaptation strategies.

Implications for Future Climate Resilience

As Minsk continues to navigate the challenges posed by climate change, understanding the nuances of its local climate trends is crucial. The slight warming of high temperatures and the marginal increase in precipitation concentration suggest potential areas for adaptation, particularly in urban planning and infrastructure resilience. These insights are vital for informing policy and ensuring that Minsk remains prepared for the evolving climate landscape.

Station Statistics

10-Year Trend

High: +1.04 °C/decade

Low: -0.50 °C/decade

Rain: -0.87 mm/decade

25-Year Trend

High: +0.66 °C/decade

Low: +0.19 °C/decade

Rain: -0.00 mm/decade

50-Year Trend

High: +0.59 °C/decade

Low: +0.47 °C/decade

Rain: +0.05 mm/decade

All-Time Trend

High: +0.26 °C/decade

Low: +0.22 °C/decade

Rain: +0.02 mm/decade

Percentage Above-Average Days

Last 12 Months: 55.5%

This Year: 75.5%

Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) ℹ️

Last 12 Months: 11.6

Historical Average: 12.1

Percentile Rank of Last 12 Months ℹ️

High: 97th percentile

Low: 86th percentile

Rain: 8th percentile

Change in Variance ℹ️

High: -5.7%

Low: -20.3%

Intraday: +42.2%

Data Coverage

86.2%

First Year of Data

1891

Station Location

Historical Weather Records

Max HighAvg HighMin HighMax AvgAvg AvgMin AvgMax LowAvg LowMin LowMax PrecipitationAvg PrecipitationMax SnowAvg Snow
Record35.8 °C-32.4 °C28.6 °C-34.9 °C22.0 °C-39.1 °C73.5 mm
January10.3 °C-3.6 °C-32.4 °C8.3 °C-6.2 °C-34.9 °C5.2 °C-9.1 °C-39.1 °C24.9 mm1.3 mm
February13.6 °C-2.5 °C-26.4 °C8.5 °C-5.5 °C-29.8 °C6.5 °C-8.6 °C-35.1 °C23.5 mm1.2 mm
March24.0 °C2.6 °C-15.8 °C14.9 °C-1.2 °C-20.8 °C9.0 °C-4.8 °C-30.5 °C53.0 mm1.3 mm
April28.0 °C10.9 °C-5.4 °C22.9 °C6.1 °C-10.4 °C13.9 °C1.6 °C-18.4 °C32.8 mm1.5 mm
May30.9 °C18.1 °C2.6 °C26.5 °C12.9 °C-0.7 °C18.0 °C7.4 °C-5.0 °C61.8 mm2.0 mm
June35.8 °C21.7 °C5.2 °C27.4 °C16.6 °C2.3 °C20.7 °C11.1 °C0.0 °C72.5 mm2.6 mm
July35.0 °C23.2 °C12.7 °C27.9 °C18.2 °C9.1 °C22.0 °C13.0 °C3.8 °C73.5 mm2.9 mm
August35.8 °C22.3 °C10.0 °C28.6 °C17.0 °C6.8 °C21.5 °C12.0 °C1.7 °C61.4 mm2.4 mm
September31.0 °C16.9 °C2.8 °C24.0 °C12.0 °C1.1 °C16.5 °C7.7 °C-4.7 °C43.0 mm1.9 mm
October24.7 °C9.8 °C-6.4 °C18.2 °C6.1 °C-8.9 °C14.2 °C2.9 °C-12.9 °C36.9 mm1.6 mm
November16.0 °C3.0 °C-11.8 °C12.3 °C0.7 °C-15.8 °C11.3 °C-1.4 °C-20.4 °C43.3 mm1.6 mm
December11.1 °C-1.4 °C-24.0 °C8.3 °C-3.6 °C-27.9 °C7.0 °C-6.0 °C-30.6 °C41.0 mm1.4 mm

Data Visualisations

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Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical

Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Max Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Min Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Average Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Rainfall this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Relative Humidity this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Max Wind Gusts this Year

Max Temperature this Year | 1 of 6

Climate 12-Month Moving Averages

Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Max Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Min Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Average Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Rainfall 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Relative Humidity 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Peak Wind Gust 12-Month MA

Max Temperature 12-Month MA | 1 of 6

Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year

Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Max Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Min Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Relative Humidity Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Peak Wind Gust Throughout Year

Average Max Temperature Throughout Year | 1 of 5