Climate for Station: Tallinn, Estonia

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Climate Analysis & Overview

Tallinn's climate is experiencing a noticeable warming trend, with a significant rise in both high and low temperatures over the past decade. Precipitation patterns have become more evenly distributed, indicating a shift in weather dynamics.

Baltic Warming Trends

Tallinn, situated on the northern coast of Estonia, experiences a humid continental climate, classified as Dfb under the Köppen system. This climate is characterized by cold, snowy winters and mild, humid summers. Over the past decade, the city has seen a warming trend, with average high temperatures increasing by 1.18°C (2.12°F) and lows by 0.81°C (1.46°F). These changes are more pronounced than the all-time trends, where highs have risen by 0.35°C (0.63°F) and lows by 0.14°C (0.25°F). The recent decade's accelerated warming suggests a shift in seasonal dynamics, potentially influenced by regional climate policies aimed at mitigating climate change impacts.

Temperature Extremes and Records

Tallinn's temperature extremes highlight the city's climatic variability. The record high stands at 34.3°C (93.7°F), while the record low plunges to -32.2°C (-26.0°F). These extremes underscore the broad thermal range typical of continental climates, influenced by the Baltic Sea's moderating effects. The sea acts as a buffer, reducing temperature extremes, yet the warming trends suggest a gradual shift in the thermal regime.

Precipitation Patterns and Distribution

The Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) for Tallinn has decreased from a baseline of 11.71 to a current value of 9.84. This indicates a more even distribution of rainfall throughout the year, as a PCI under 10 is considered very even. Such a shift can lead to fewer instances of intense rainfall events, potentially reducing the risk of flooding and soil erosion. This change in precipitation dynamics might be attributed to broader climatic shifts and localised weather patterns.

Regional Climate Context

Estonia's commitment to reducing greenhouse gas emissions and enhancing renewable energy usage aligns with the observed climatic trends in Tallinn. The warming trends and changes in precipitation distribution may reflect the broader regional efforts to adapt to and mitigate climate change. Recent weather events, such as milder winters and extended warm periods, provide a backdrop to these statistics, illustrating the tangible impacts of climate change on local weather patterns.

Implications for Future Climate

The data from Tallinn's weather station suggest ongoing climatic changes that could have significant implications for the region's ecosystem and infrastructure. The warming trends, both recent and all-time, coupled with changes in precipitation distribution, highlight the need for adaptive strategies to manage potential impacts on agriculture, water resources, and urban planning. As Estonia continues to pursue its climate goals, understanding these localised trends will be crucial for informed decision-making and policy development.

Station Statistics

10-Year Trend

High: +1.18 °C/decade

Low: +0.81 °C/decade

Rain: -0.81 mm/decade

25-Year Trend

High: +0.84 °C/decade

Low: +0.71 °C/decade

Rain: -0.04 mm/decade

50-Year Trend

High: +0.72 °C/decade

Low: +0.42 °C/decade

Rain: +0.01 mm/decade

All-Time Trend

High: +0.35 °C/decade

Low: +0.14 °C/decade

Rain: +0.07 mm/decade

Percentage Above-Average Days

Last 12 Months: 54.2%

This Year: 96.3%

Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) ℹ️

Last 12 Months: 10.0

Historical Average: 11.8

Percentile Rank of Last 12 Months ℹ️

High: 94th percentile

Low: 99th percentile

Rain: 37th percentile

Change in Variance ℹ️

High: -4.5%

Low: -22.0%

Intraday: +7.9%

Data Coverage

99.0%

First Year of Data

1936

Station Location

Historical Weather Records

Max HighAvg HighMin HighMax AvgAvg AvgMin AvgMax LowAvg LowMin LowMax PrecipitationAvg PrecipitationMax SnowAvg Snow
Record34.3 °C-28.0 °C27.2 °C-29.7 °C22.3 °C-32.2 °C66.8 mm
January9.2 °C-2.0 °C-28.0 °C6.9 °C-4.6 °C-29.7 °C4.5 °C-7.3 °C-32.0 °C27.9 mm1.6 mm
February10.2 °C-2.1 °C-24.2 °C7.9 °C-4.9 °C-26.2 °C5.7 °C-7.8 °C-31.0 °C30.0 mm1.2 mm
March15.9 °C1.8 °C-17.7 °C9.7 °C-1.7 °C-22.0 °C5.8 °C-5.0 °C-26.2 °C22.9 mm1.0 mm
April27.2 °C8.2 °C-5.9 °C17.8 °C3.8 °C-9.1 °C12.2 °C0.0 °C-14.4 °C33.6 mm1.2 mm
May31.4 °C14.6 °C-0.3 °C23.8 °C9.7 °C-1.7 °C17.0 °C4.9 °C-5.0 °C44.0 mm1.2 mm
June32.6 °C19.1 °C8.3 °C27.1 °C14.6 °C6.2 °C21.0 °C9.9 °C-0.1 °C50.1 mm1.9 mm
July34.3 °C21.5 °C12.2 °C27.2 °C17.1 °C10.2 °C22.3 °C12.8 °C4.0 °C66.8 mm2.4 mm
August32.9 °C20.5 °C11.0 °C25.5 °C16.1 °C8.7 °C20.8 °C12.1 °C1.0 °C56.4 mm2.5 mm
September28.5 °C15.6 °C4.4 °C22.5 °C11.5 °C1.2 °C19.0 °C8.3 °C-4.7 °C47.4 mm2.3 mm
October21.8 °C9.4 °C-3.6 °C15.6 °C6.4 °C-7.4 °C13.4 °C3.7 °C-13.0 °C39.7 mm2.3 mm
November14.1 °C3.8 °C-13.5 °C11.8 °C1.6 °C-16.0 °C10.7 °C-0.6 °C-21.3 °C31.1 mm2.1 mm
December11.6 °C0.3 °C-22.1 °C9.6 °C-2.0 °C-26.9 °C8.9 °C-4.3 °C-32.2 °C28.1 mm1.7 mm

Data Visualisations

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Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical

Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Max Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Min Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Average Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Rainfall this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Relative Humidity this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Max Wind Gusts this Year

Max Temperature this Year | 1 of 6

Climate 12-Month Moving Averages

Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Max Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Min Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Average Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Rainfall 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Relative Humidity 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Peak Wind Gust 12-Month MA

Max Temperature 12-Month MA | 1 of 6

Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year

Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Max Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Min Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Relative Humidity Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Peak Wind Gust Throughout Year

Average Max Temperature Throughout Year | 1 of 5