Climate for Station: Turgaj, Kostanay Region, Kazakhstan

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Torghay

Qostanay, Kazakhstan

2026-03-01 07:29

-15.1°C

Feels -19.9°C

H: -6.8°C / L: -16°C

Precip: 0.01mm | Wind: 6.8 kph

▲ 1.4°C vs historical high

Freezing fog

2026-03-02

H: -2.4°C

L: -8°C

Rain: 79%

Rainfall: 0.16mm

Wind: 27.4kph

▲ 5.5°C

2026-03-03

H: -1.5°C

L: -10°C

Rain: 0%

Rainfall: 0mm

Wind: 16.9kph

▲ 5.9°C

2026-03-04

H: -0.5°C

L: -10.3°C

Rain: 0%

Rainfall: 0mm

Wind: 16.2kph

▲ 6.2°C

2026-03-05

H: -1.9°C

L: -6.2°C

Rain: 0%

Rainfall: 0.1mm

Wind: 19.4kph

▲ 4.3°C

2026-03-06

H: 0.4°C

L: -3.2°C

Rain: 62%

Rainfall: 0.88mm

Wind: 20.5kph

▲ 5.8°C

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Climate Analysis & Overview

Turgaj is experiencing a significant warming trend, particularly in its nighttime temperatures, with a marked increase in precipitation concentration. These changes suggest a shift towards more extreme weather patterns, challenging the region's resilience against climate variability.

Köppen Classification and Local Geography

Turgaj, located in the Kostanay Region of Kazakhstan, is classified under the Köppen climate classification as a cold semi-arid climate (BSk). This classification is characterized by low annual precipitation and large temperature variations between seasons. The region's flat steppe landscape contributes to its climatic conditions, allowing for unhindered air movement and significant temperature fluctuations. The absence of large water bodies or mountain ranges nearby means that Turgaj is particularly susceptible to continental climate influences.

Temperature Trends: A Warming Landscape

Over the past decade, Turgaj has experienced a notable warming trend, with high temperatures increasing by 1.89°C (3.40°F) and low temperatures rising even more significantly by 2.39°C (4.30°F). This trend is more pronounced than the all-time warming trends, where high temperatures have increased by 0.18°C (0.32°F) and low temperatures by 0.26°C (0.47°F). The greater rise in nighttime temperatures suggests a reduction in the diurnal temperature range, which could impact local agriculture and ecosystems by altering growing seasons and increasing heat stress.

Extreme Temperature Records

The temperature extremes in Turgaj are stark, with a record high of 48.7°C (119.7°F) and a record low of -40.5°C (-40.9°F). These extremes highlight the region's vulnerability to both heatwaves and cold snaps, which can have severe implications for infrastructure and health. The increasing frequency of such extremes may be indicative of broader climatic shifts, necessitating adaptive measures to protect the community and environment.

Precipitation Patterns: Concentration Intensifies

The Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) for Turgaj has seen a dramatic increase from a baseline of 13.5 to a current value of 51.3. This indicates a significant shift towards more concentrated precipitation events, where rainfall occurs in fewer, more intense episodes. Such changes can lead to increased risks of flooding and soil erosion, while also affecting water availability during drier periods. The heightened concentration of precipitation events underscores the need for improved water management strategies to mitigate potential adverse impacts.

Regional Implications and Climate Goals

Kazakhstan's regional climate goals aim to enhance resilience against climate change impacts, focusing on sustainable agricultural practices and infrastructure improvements. The trends observed in Turgaj, with its warming temperatures and intensified precipitation concentration, align with these national priorities. Addressing these climatic challenges will be crucial for maintaining the region's socio-economic stability and environmental health.

Station Statistics

10-Year Trend

High: +1.90 °C/decade

Low: +2.40 °C/decade

Rain: +0.27 mm/decade

25-Year Trend

High: -0.04 °C/decade

Low: +0.21 °C/decade

Rain: +0.13 mm/decade

50-Year Trend

High: +0.28 °C/decade

Low: +0.34 °C/decade

Rain: +0.02 mm/decade

All-Time Trend

High: +0.18 °C/decade

Low: +0.26 °C/decade

Rain: +0.00 mm/decade

Percentage Above-Average Days

Last 12 Months: 58.6%

This Year: 35.2%

Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) ℹ️

Last 12 Months: 9.5

Historical Average: 13.7

Percentile Rank of Last 12 Months ℹ️

High: 95^th percentile

Low: 99^th percentile

Rain: 88^th percentile

Change in Variance ℹ️

High: -8.1%

Low: -9.6%

Intraday: -11.9%

Data Coverage

84.1%

First Year of Data

1900

Station Location

Historical Weather Records

	Max High	Avg High	Min High	Max Avg	Avg Avg	Min Avg	Max Low	Avg Low	Min Low	Max Precipitation	Avg Precipitation	Max Snow	Avg Snow
Record	48.7 °C	—	-36.5 °C	35.8 °C	—	-38.9 °C	29.2 °C	—	-40.5 °C	93.2 mm	—	—	—
January	16.4 °C	-11.2 °C	-36.5 °C	1.4 °C	-15.6 °C	-38.9 °C	0.5 °C	-19.8 °C	-40.5 °C	22.7 mm	0.4 mm	—	—
February	7.4 °C	-10.3 °C	-32.3 °C	2.6 °C	-15.1 °C	-35.7 °C	0.0 °C	-19.5 °C	-39.9 °C	15.3 mm	0.4 mm	—	—
March	23.9 °C	-2.2 °C	-25.7 °C	16.2 °C	-7.1 °C	-30.1 °C	13.1 °C	-11.6 °C	-35.0 °C	37.9 mm	0.4 mm	—	—
April	31.8 °C	13.5 °C	-13.7 °C	23.5 °C	7.3 °C	-18.1 °C	17.8 °C	1.9 °C	-23.7 °C	30.6 mm	0.6 mm	—	—
May	41.0 °C	23.3 °C	3.6 °C	30.2 °C	16.6 °C	-1.5 °C	22.9 °C	9.9 °C	-6.4 °C	23.1 mm	0.5 mm	—	—
June	48.7 °C	29.3 °C	8.9 °C	34.1 °C	22.6 °C	6.2 °C	29.2 °C	15.4 °C	-0.4 °C	38.2 mm	0.6 mm	—	—
July	45.0 °C	31.1 °C	14.9 °C	35.8 °C	24.6 °C	11.7 °C	28.5 °C	17.7 °C	6.0 °C	93.2 mm	0.6 mm	—	—
August	43.3 °C	28.9 °C	13.6 °C	35.2 °C	22.2 °C	7.5 °C	27.0 °C	15.5 °C	0.0 °C	59.3 mm	0.5 mm	—	—
September	40.5 °C	22.1 °C	3.5 °C	29.9 °C	15.2 °C	-1.1 °C	22.4 °C	8.9 °C	-6.0 °C	28.2 mm	0.4 mm	—	—
October	32.9 °C	11.5 °C	-15.4 °C	21.9 °C	5.8 °C	-18.0 °C	16.1 °C	0.7 °C	-21.7 °C	24.7 mm	0.6 mm	—	—
November	19.8 °C	0.5 °C	-24.3 °C	12.8 °C	-3.6 °C	-27.4 °C	6.9 °C	-7.3 °C	-32.6 °C	26.7 mm	0.6 mm	—	—
December	8.6 °C	-7.6 °C	-34.5 °C	4.3 °C	-11.8 °C	-36.9 °C	2.5 °C	-15.8 °C	-39.6 °C	14.7 mm	0.5 mm	—	—