Climate for Station: Ghadames East, Nalut District, Libya

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Climate Analysis & Overview

Ghadames East exhibits a warming trend with temperatures rising significantly over the past decade. Precipitation events are becoming more concentrated, suggesting potential challenges for water management in this arid region. These changes are critical for Libya's climate resilience efforts.

Desert Climate Dynamics

Ghadames East, located at 30.152, 9.715, is characterised by a desert climate under the Köppen classification. This region experiences extreme temperature variations, with recorded highs reaching 49.3°C (120.7°F) and lows plunging to -5.0°C (23.0°F). The vast desert landscape, with minimal vegetation and no significant water bodies, amplifies these temperature extremes. The all-time temperature trends indicate a warming, with highs increasing by 0.25°C (0.45°F) and lows by 0.41°C (0.74°F). This gradual rise suggests a long-term shift towards hotter conditions.

Decadal Warming Trends

Over the past decade, Ghadames East has seen a more pronounced warming trend. High temperatures have increased by 1.61°C (2.90°F), while low temperatures have risen by 2.33°C (4.19°F). This accelerated warming over the last ten years is significant when compared to the all-time trends. Such rapid changes may impact local ecosystems and human activities, necessitating adaptive measures in line with Libya's regional climate goals.

Precipitation Patterns Intensify

The Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) for Ghadames East has risen from a baseline of 29.3 to a current value of 32.0. The PCI measures how precipitation is distributed over time, with higher values indicating more concentrated rainfall events. This increase suggests that rain is becoming more sporadic, occurring in fewer, more intense events. In a desert environment, such concentrated precipitation can lead to flash floods and challenges in water resource management, highlighting the need for improved infrastructure and planning.

Temperature Extremes and Implications

The extreme temperatures recorded in Ghadames East underscore the harshness of its desert climate. With highs reaching 49.3°C (120.7°F), the region faces severe heat stress, impacting both human health and local agriculture. The low of -5.0°C (23.0°F), though rare, illustrates the potential for cold snaps that can disrupt daily life. These extremes necessitate robust adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of such temperature fluctuations.

Regional Climate Considerations

Libya's broader climate strategy must account for the unique challenges faced by regions like Ghadames East. The observed trends in temperature and precipitation concentration are critical for informing policy and planning. As Libya seeks to enhance its climate resilience, understanding these localised patterns will be essential in crafting effective responses to the evolving climate landscape.

Station Statistics

10-Year Trend

High: +1.61 °C/decade

Low: +2.32 °C/decade

Rain: -0.12 mm/decade

25-Year Trend

High: +0.22 °C/decade

Low: +0.55 °C/decade

Rain: -0.03 mm/decade

50-Year Trend

High: +0.26 °C/decade

Low: +0.40 °C/decade

Rain: -0.00 mm/decade

All-Time Trend

High: +0.25 °C/decade

Low: +0.41 °C/decade

Rain: -0.00 mm/decade

Percentage Above-Average Days

Last 12 Months: 55.3%

This Year: 63.0%

Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) ℹ️

Last 12 Months: 55.8

Historical Average: 35.4

Percentile Rank of Last 12 Months ℹ️

High: 81st percentile

Low: 99th percentile

Rain: 21st percentile

Change in Variance ℹ️

High: +0.4%

Low: +4.8%

Intraday: -20.8%

Data Coverage

83.1%

First Year of Data

1961

Station Location

Historical Weather Records

Max HighAvg HighMin HighMax AvgAvg AvgMin AvgMax LowAvg LowMin LowMax PrecipitationAvg PrecipitationMax SnowAvg Snow
Record49.3 °C6.0 °C43.0 °C0.5 °C36.0 °C-5.0 °C47.0 mm
January33.5 °C17.6 °C6.8 °C26.9 °C11.1 °C0.5 °C20.7 °C4.1 °C-4.8 °C21.9 mm0.1 mm
February37.9 °C20.3 °C6.0 °C28.0 °C13.8 °C2.9 °C19.6 °C6.1 °C-3.5 °C10.2 mm0.1 mm
March38.8 °C24.8 °C10.7 °C31.7 °C18.0 °C4.7 °C24.0 °C9.7 °C-1.1 °C36.3 mm0.2 mm
April42.5 °C30.2 °C14.0 °C34.6 °C23.0 °C9.6 °C29.9 °C14.4 °C2.0 °C11.7 mm0.1 mm
May48.0 °C35.0 °C16.5 °C41.4 °C28.0 °C13.9 °C32.0 °C19.1 °C7.2 °C37.7 mm0.1 mm
June48.2 °C39.7 °C22.2 °C43.0 °C32.6 °C19.9 °C36.0 °C23.3 °C12.8 °C6.4 mm0.0 mm
July47.9 °C41.0 °C31.0 °C42.7 °C33.8 °C23.9 °C32.6 °C24.3 °C14.3 °C0.3 mm0.0 mm
August49.3 °C40.3 °C31.6 °C42.1 °C33.3 °C24.2 °C32.2 °C24.1 °C15.0 °C4.1 mm0.0 mm
September46.0 °C37.2 °C25.0 °C40.3 °C30.3 °C18.8 °C31.0 °C22.1 °C10.0 °C47.0 mm0.1 mm
October43.6 °C31.2 °C18.0 °C33.4 °C24.4 °C13.4 °C27.4 °C16.8 °C2.2 °C33.9 mm0.2 mm
November38.0 °C24.1 °C10.0 °C31.3 °C17.4 °C7.8 °C23.6 °C10.3 °C-2.2 °C14.1 mm0.1 mm
December33.0 °C18.5 °C8.7 °C23.3 °C12.0 °C2.7 °C18.6 °C5.5 °C-5.0 °C18.6 mm0.2 mm

Data Visualisations

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Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical

Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Max Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Min Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Average Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Rainfall this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Relative Humidity this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Max Wind Gusts this Year

Max Temperature this Year | 1 of 6

Climate 12-Month Moving Averages

Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Max Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Min Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Average Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Rainfall 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Relative Humidity 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Peak Wind Gust 12-Month MA

Max Temperature 12-Month MA | 1 of 6

Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year

Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Max Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Min Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Relative Humidity Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Peak Wind Gust Throughout Year

Average Max Temperature Throughout Year | 1 of 5