Climate for Station: Nueva Casas Grandes, Chihuahua, Mexico

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La California

Chihuahua, Mexico

2026-02-28 20:29

22.5°C

Feels 22°C

H: 29.9°C / L: 11°C

Precip: 0mm | Wind: 10.4 kph

▲ 10.2°C vs historical high

Clear

2026-03-01

H: 30.2°C

L: 7.5°C

Rain: 0%

Rainfall: 0mm

Wind: 15.1kph

▲ 10.3°C

2026-03-02

H: 30.8°C

L: 8.7°C

Rain: 0%

Rainfall: 0mm

Wind: 34.2kph

▲ 10.5°C

2026-03-03

H: 27°C

L: 8°C

Rain: 0%

Rainfall: 0mm

Wind: 39.6kph

▲ 6.9°C

2026-03-04

H: 25.2°C

L: 8.7°C

Rain: 0%

Rainfall: 0mm

Wind: 26.3kph

▲ 5.1°C

2026-03-05

H: 24.7°C

L: 11.2°C

Rain: 0%

Rainfall: 0mm

Wind: 30.6kph

▲ 4.6°C

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Climate Analysis & Overview

Nueva Casas Grandes is experiencing a complex climate narrative with a warming trend in recent years, juxtaposed against a historical cooling in low temperatures. This region is witnessing a slight decrease in precipitation concentration, indicating a more even distribution of rainfall events.

Desert Climate Dynamics

Nueva Casas Grandes, located in the state of Chihuahua, Mexico, is classified under the Köppen climate classification as a semi-arid climate (BSh). The region's geography, marked by its proximity to the Sierra Madre Occidental mountain range, influences its weather patterns, creating a unique interplay between desert and mountainous climates. The region's climate is characterised by hot summers and mild winters, with significant temperature variability.

Recent Warming Trends

In the past decade, Nueva Casas Grandes has experienced a notable warming trend in high temperatures, with an increase of 0.98°C (1.76°F). This recent warming contrasts with the historical trend, where high temperatures have risen by a more modest 0.06°C (0.11°F). The warming in recent years could be attributed to broader regional climate changes, potentially influenced by anthropogenic factors and natural climate variability.

Historical Cooling of Low Temperatures

Interestingly, the all-time trend for low temperatures shows a cooling of 0.17°C (0.31°F), suggesting a historical decline in minimum temperatures. This cooling trend is less pronounced in the past decade, with lows increasing slightly by 0.07°C (0.13°F). The divergence between recent warming highs and cooling lows over the long term presents a complex climate story that may be influenced by localised geographical factors and broader climate dynamics.

Precipitation Patterns and Distribution

The Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) for Nueva Casas Grandes has shown a slight decrease from a baseline of 20.23 to a current value of 19.99. This marginal change suggests that rainfall is becoming slightly more evenly distributed throughout the year, although it remains relatively concentrated. A PCI value above 20 indicates highly concentrated precipitation events, so this shift towards a more balanced distribution may have implications for local agriculture and water management strategies.

Extremes and Records

Nueva Casas Grandes has recorded extreme temperatures with a maximum of 43.5°C (110.3°F) and a minimum of -21.5°C (-6.7°F). These records highlight the region's susceptibility to temperature extremes, which can pose challenges for both human habitation and the local ecosystem. The ability to adapt to such extremes is crucial for the resilience of the region's communities and natural systems.

The climate profile of Nueva Casas Grandes is a tapestry of warming trends, historical cooling, and evolving precipitation patterns, set against the backdrop of Mexico's regional climate goals and recent weather events.

Station Statistics

10-Year Trend

High: +0.94 °C/decade

Low: +0.05 °C/decade

Rain: -1.00 mm/decade

25-Year Trend

High: +0.90 °C/decade

Low: +0.26 °C/decade

Rain: -0.12 mm/decade

50-Year Trend

High: +0.60 °C/decade

Low: +0.43 °C/decade

Rain: -0.08 mm/decade

All-Time Trend

High: +0.06 °C/decade

Low: -0.17 °C/decade

Rain: +0.02 mm/decade

Percentage Above-Average Days

Last 12 Months: 57.5%

This Year: 50.9%

Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) ℹ️

Last 12 Months: 17.1

Historical Average: 20.2

Percentile Rank of Last 12 Months ℹ️

High: 95^th percentile

Low: 73^rd percentile

Rain: 5^th percentile

Change in Variance ℹ️

High: -6.1%

Low: -18.8%

Intraday: -21.0%

Data Coverage

89.5%

First Year of Data

1943

Station Location

Historical Weather Records

	Max High	Avg High	Min High	Max Avg	Avg Avg	Min Avg	Max Low	Avg Low	Min Low	Max Precipitation	Avg Precipitation	Max Snow	Avg Snow
Record	43.5 °C	—	-8.8 °C	35.5 °C	—	-12.2 °C	28.0 °C	—	-21.5 °C	85.2 mm	—	—	—
January	31.5 °C	16.4 °C	-5.5 °C	19.3 °C	7.4 °C	-6.0 °C	13.0 °C	-0.5 °C	-21.5 °C	28.4 mm	0.5 mm	—	—
February	31.0 °C	19.0 °C	-8.8 °C	19.7 °C	10.0 °C	-12.2 °C	14.5 °C	1.1 °C	-14.6 °C	23.8 mm	0.6 mm	—	—
March	35.5 °C	22.2 °C	3.5 °C	23.6 °C	13.3 °C	-0.2 °C	27.0 °C	4.1 °C	-8.0 °C	21.5 mm	0.3 mm	—	—
April	36.5 °C	26.5 °C	8.0 °C	27.6 °C	17.5 °C	2.1 °C	18.0 °C	7.5 °C	-5.0 °C	25.5 mm	0.2 mm	—	—
May	40.0 °C	30.8 °C	16.0 °C	30.5 °C	21.9 °C	7.2 °C	25.0 °C	11.2 °C	-0.5 °C	20.5 mm	0.2 mm	—	—
June	43.5 °C	34.9 °C	21.0 °C	34.9 °C	26.3 °C	15.7 °C	25.5 °C	16.2 °C	5.0 °C	36.3 mm	0.6 mm	—	—
July	42.0 °C	33.3 °C	21.1 °C	35.5 °C	25.4 °C	17.8 °C	28.0 °C	18.0 °C	9.0 °C	80.1 mm	2.8 mm	—	—
August	41.0 °C	32.0 °C	19.0 °C	34.2 °C	24.1 °C	16.8 °C	28.0 °C	17.1 °C	7.0 °C	85.2 mm	2.6 mm	—	—
September	41.0 °C	30.3 °C	15.0 °C	32.4 °C	21.9 °C	11.3 °C	23.0 °C	14.3 °C	4.0 °C	43.2 mm	1.5 mm	—	—
October	39.5 °C	26.6 °C	7.5 °C	25.7 °C	17.5 °C	2.8 °C	20.5 °C	8.8 °C	-6.0 °C	58.0 mm	0.8 mm	—	—
November	33.5 °C	20.9 °C	-1.0 °C	23.3 °C	11.6 °C	-3.9 °C	16.5 °C	3.0 °C	-11.0 °C	40.8 mm	0.5 mm	—	—
December	27.5 °C	16.6 °C	-1.0 °C	21.3 °C	7.6 °C	-4.2 °C	12.5 °C	-0.3 °C	-14.8 °C	33.7 mm	0.6 mm	—	—