Climate for Station: Polar Gmo Im.e.t.krenkelj, Arkhangelsk Oblast, Russia

Climate Analysis & Overview

The Polar Gmo Im.e.t.krenkelj weather station, located in the Russian Arctic, reveals a complex climate narrative marked by both historical warming and recent cooling trends. The all-time warming of 0.89°C (1.60°F) for highs contrasts with a 10-year cooling trend of -1.45°C (-2.61°F), highlighting the dynamic nature of this polar climate. Precipitation has become slightly more concentrated, with the PCI rising from 10.41 to 10.93.

Polar Climate Dynamics

Situated at the northern extremities of Russia, the Polar Gmo Im.e.t.krenkelj station is classified under the Tundra climate (ET) in the Köppen system. The station's location in the Arkhangelsk Oblast, within the Northwestern Federal District, is characterised by its proximity to the Arctic Ocean, which plays a significant role in moderating temperatures and influencing precipitation patterns. The region's geography, with its vast expanses of ice and snow, contributes to the extreme cold temperatures recorded, such as the minimum of -44.4°C (-47.9°F).

Temperature Trends: A Tale of Two Timelines

The station's data presents an intriguing dichotomy in temperature trends. Over the all-time scale, there has been a warming of 0.89°C (1.60°F) in high temperatures and 1.17°C (2.11°F) in low temperatures, indicating a long-term rise in temperatures. However, the past decade has seen a reversal, with high temperatures experiencing a cooling of -1.45°C (-2.61°F) and lows cooling by -1.96°C (-3.52°F). These contrasting trends suggest a complex interplay of climatic factors, possibly influenced by recent shifts in Arctic air patterns and sea ice dynamics.

Precipitation Patterns: Slightly More Concentrated

Precipitation at the station has shown a marginal increase in concentration, as indicated by the Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI). The PCI has risen from a baseline of 10.41 to a current value of 10.93, suggesting that precipitation events are becoming slightly more concentrated. This means that while the overall volume of precipitation may not have changed significantly, it is now more likely to occur in fewer, more intense events.

Extreme Temperature Records

The station's extreme temperature records provide further insight into the harsh conditions of the region. The maximum recorded temperature of 8.9°C (48.0°F) is a testament to the brief and mild Arctic summers, while the minimum of -44.4°C (-47.9°F) underscores the severity of the winters. These extremes highlight the challenges faced by both the natural environment and human activities in this remote part of the world.

Regional Implications and Future Considerations

The climate trends observed at Polar Gmo Im.e.t.krenkelj are of particular interest in the context of Russia's broader climate goals, which include mitigating the impacts of climate change in its Arctic territories. The observed cooling trend over the past decade may provide temporary relief from some of the warming impacts, but the long-term warming trend remains a critical concern for regional ecosystems and infrastructure.

Station Statistics

10-Year Trend

High: -1.45 °C/decade

Low: -1.96 °C/decade

Rain: +0.09 mm/decade

25-Year Trend

High: +0.53 °C/decade

Low: +0.35 °C/decade

Rain: -0.04 mm/decade

50-Year Trend

High: +1.18 °C/decade

Low: +1.47 °C/decade

Rain: +0.02 mm/decade

All-Time Trend

High: +0.89 °C/decade

Low: +1.17 °C/decade

Rain: +0.07 mm/decade

Percentage Above-Average Days

Last 12 Months: 68.2%

This Year: 34.1%

Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) ℹ️

Last 12 Months: 10.9

Historical Average: 10.4

Percentile Rank of Last 12 Months ℹ️

High: 94^th percentile

Low: 93^rd percentile

Rain: 69^th percentile

Change in Variance ℹ️

High: -32.1%

Low: -29.6%

Intraday: -20.3%

Data Coverage

97.0%

First Year of Data

1957

Station Location

Historical Weather Records

	Max High	Avg High	Min High	Max Avg	Avg Avg	Min Avg	Max Low	Avg Low	Min Low	Max Precipitation	Avg Precipitation	Max Snow	Avg Snow
Record	8.9 °C	—	-41.2 °C	6.4 °C	—	-42.1 °C	4.0 °C	—	-44.4 °C	50.0 mm	—	—	—
January	1.9 °C	-18.9 °C	-39.6 °C	0.1 °C	-22.3 °C	-40.6 °C	-2.3 °C	-25.6 °C	-42.1 °C	47.4 mm	1.1 mm	—	—
February	3.6 °C	-18.5 °C	-40.0 °C	-0.8 °C	-22.1 °C	-41.9 °C	-1.8 °C	-25.5 °C	-44.4 °C	26.8 mm	1.2 mm	—	—
March	1.6 °C	-19.1 °C	-41.2 °C	-0.9 °C	-22.5 °C	-42.1 °C	-2.1 °C	-25.9 °C	-43.5 °C	40.4 mm	1.0 mm	—	—
April	0.7 °C	-14.9 °C	-35.8 °C	-0.8 °C	-17.8 °C	-37.1 °C	-1.8 °C	-20.7 °C	-39.6 °C	29.3 mm	0.9 mm	—	—
May	2.6 °C	-6.6 °C	-21.7 °C	1.3 °C	-8.7 °C	-23.3 °C	0.4 °C	-10.8 °C	-27.7 °C	15.7 mm	0.8 mm	—	—
June	8.0 °C	0.0 °C	-8.4 °C	5.5 °C	-1.4 °C	-10.4 °C	2.1 °C	-2.7 °C	-12.3 °C	13.9 mm	0.9 mm	—	—
July	8.8 °C	2.1 °C	-1.9 °C	5.1 °C	0.8 °C	-2.7 °C	4.0 °C	-0.3 °C	-4.3 °C	50.0 mm	1.2 mm	—	—
August	8.9 °C	1.5 °C	-4.8 °C	6.4 °C	0.3 °C	-5.4 °C	3.0 °C	-0.8 °C	-7.3 °C	35.1 mm	1.4 mm	—	—
September	5.6 °C	-1.1 °C	-13.7 °C	3.6 °C	-2.5 °C	-15.4 °C	2.5 °C	-3.9 °C	-19.2 °C	18.8 mm	1.5 mm	—	—
October	3.8 °C	-7.3 °C	-28.6 °C	1.4 °C	-9.5 °C	-30.3 °C	0.6 °C	-11.8 °C	-32.3 °C	15.9 mm	1.3 mm	—	—
November	3.3 °C	-13.1 °C	-34.2 °C	0.9 °C	-16.1 °C	-36.1 °C	0.3 °C	-19.0 °C	-39.5 °C	31.6 mm	1.3 mm	—	—
December	1.7 °C	-16.8 °C	-37.0 °C	-0.1 °C	-20.2 °C	-38.3 °C	-0.6 °C	-23.3 °C	-41.5 °C	32.9 mm	1.1 mm	—	—