Climate for Station: Ostrov Vrangelja, Chukotka Autonomous Okrug, Russia

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Climate Analysis & Overview

Ostrov Vrangelja is experiencing a nuanced climate profile, with historical warming trends juxtaposed against recent cooling episodes. The island's precipitation patterns are becoming more evenly distributed, hinting at a shift in local hydrological dynamics.

Arctic Climate Context

Ostrov Vrangelja, located at 70.9831°N, 178.4833°W, falls under the Tundra climate classification (ET) according to the Köppen system. This classification is characterised by long, harsh winters and short, cool summers. The island's geographical isolation and proximity to the Arctic Ocean significantly influence its climate, with maritime effects moderating temperature extremes. The region's climate is further shaped by the surrounding sea ice, which acts as a buffer against rapid temperature fluctuations.

Temperature Trends: A Dichotomy

The all-time temperature trends on Ostrov Vrangelja indicate a warming pattern, with highs rising by 0.29°C (0.52°F) and lows by 0.42°C (0.76°F). This suggests a gradual increase in temperatures over the long term. However, the last decade tells a different story, with a notable cooling of 3.61°C (6.50°F) in high temperatures and 2.82°C (5.07°F) in low temperatures. This divergence between long-term and recent trends highlights the complexity of climate dynamics in the Arctic, where short-term variations can obscure broader climatic shifts.

Precipitation Patterns: A Shift Towards Evenness

The Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) for Ostrov Vrangelja has decreased from a baseline of 12.15 to a current value of 10.20. This reduction indicates that precipitation is becoming more evenly distributed throughout the year, rather than being concentrated in fewer, more intense events. This shift can have significant implications for local ecosystems and hydrology, potentially affecting water availability and the distribution of plant and animal species.

Temperature Extremes: Record Observations

The island has recorded temperature extremes with a maximum of 18.2°C (64.8°F) and a minimum of -49.7°C (-57.5°F). These records underscore the harsh and variable climate conditions that define Ostrov Vrangelja. Such extremes are critical for understanding the resilience of local flora and fauna, as well as the challenges faced by human activities in the region.

Regional Climate Goals and Implications

Russia's commitment to addressing climate change includes efforts to monitor and mitigate the impacts of warming in the Arctic. The trends observed on Ostrov Vrangelja are emblematic of the broader challenges faced by the region, where warming can lead to permafrost thaw and altered ecosystems. The recent cooling trend may offer a temporary reprieve, but it does not negate the overarching warming trajectory that poses long-term risks to the Arctic environment.

Station Statistics

10-Year Trend

High: -3.62 °C/decade

Low: -2.83 °C/decade

Rain: +0.11 mm/decade

25-Year Trend

High: +0.28 °C/decade

Low: +0.71 °C/decade

Rain: +0.10 mm/decade

50-Year Trend

High: +0.68 °C/decade

Low: +0.94 °C/decade

Rain: +0.02 mm/decade

All-Time Trend

High: +0.29 °C/decade

Low: +0.42 °C/decade

Rain: +0.00 mm/decade

Percentage Above-Average Days

Last 12 Months: 54.2%

This Year: 76.3%

Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) ℹ️

Last 12 Months: 11.2

Historical Average: 14.8

Percentile Rank of Last 12 Months ℹ️

High: 71st percentile

Low: 83rd percentile

Rain: 62nd percentile

Change in Variance ℹ️

High: -11.5%

Low: -21.0%

Intraday: -13.3%

Data Coverage

99.7%

First Year of Data

1926

Station Location

Historical Weather Records

Max HighAvg HighMin HighMax AvgAvg AvgMin AvgMax LowAvg LowMin LowMax PrecipitationAvg PrecipitationMax SnowAvg Snow
Record18.2 °C-41.3 °C12.8 °C-45.9 °C10.7 °C-52.5 °C34.7 mm
January1.5 °C-19.0 °C-37.7 °C-1.3 °C-22.5 °C-39.7 °C-2.6 °C-26.1 °C-42.0 °C13.1 mm0.4 mm
February-0.2 °C-20.5 °C-41.3 °C-2.7 °C-24.1 °C-42.8 °C-4.5 °C-27.7 °C-44.6 °C34.7 mm0.3 mm
March0.2 °C-18.8 °C-35.0 °C-1.7 °C-22.6 °C-38.3 °C-3.7 °C-26.3 °C-45.0 °C31.5 mm0.3 mm
April2.5 °C-12.8 °C-27.3 °C1.1 °C-16.5 °C-32.4 °C-0.9 °C-20.4 °C-38.2 °C12.9 mm0.2 mm
May9.6 °C-3.6 °C-18.6 °C6.4 °C-6.3 °C-23.0 °C3.1 °C-9.1 °C-31.5 °C8.7 mm0.3 mm
June17.6 °C3.2 °C-6.4 °C10.3 °C0.7 °C-8.4 °C6.2 °C-1.2 °C-12.3 °C31.1 mm0.4 mm
July18.2 °C5.7 °C-0.2 °C11.1 °C2.8 °C-2.2 °C8.4 °C0.8 °C-4.9 °C21.8 mm0.7 mm
August16.7 °C4.8 °C-2.6 °C12.8 °C2.4 °C-4.3 °C10.7 °C0.6 °C-6.5 °C27.4 mm0.8 mm
September12.7 °C1.4 °C-10.3 °C10.5 °C-0.4 °C-12.1 °C9.1 °C-2.2 °C-14.6 °C22.9 mm0.6 mm
October9.3 °C-4.4 °C-20.6 °C6.6 °C-6.5 °C-24.8 °C5.4 °C-8.9 °C-29.8 °C19.4 mm0.5 mm
November5.4 °C-10.8 °C-27.6 °C0.9 °C-13.6 °C-31.4 °C0.0 °C-16.5 °C-34.9 °C16.5 mm0.4 mm
December2.0 °C-17.2 °C-33.6 °C0.6 °C-20.3 °C-45.9 °C-1.3 °C-23.4 °C-52.5 °C29.0 mm0.3 mm

Data Visualisations

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Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical

Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Max Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Min Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Average Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Rainfall this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Relative Humidity this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Max Wind Gusts this Year

Max Temperature this Year | 1 of 6

Climate 12-Month Moving Averages

Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Max Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Min Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Average Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Rainfall 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Relative Humidity 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Peak Wind Gust 12-Month MA

Max Temperature 12-Month MA | 1 of 6

Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year

Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Max Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Min Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Relative Humidity Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Peak Wind Gust Throughout Year

Average Max Temperature Throughout Year | 1 of 5