Climate for Station: Srinagar, Jammu and Kashmir, India

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Climate Analysis & Overview

Srinagar, nestled in the Kashmir Valley, is experiencing a warming trend with significant temperature increases over the past decade. The city's climate, influenced by its mountainous surroundings, shows a shift towards more evenly distributed precipitation patterns.

Warming Trends in the Kashmir Valley

Srinagar, located at 34.083°N, 74.833°E, falls under the Köppen climate classification of Cfa, indicating a humid subtropical climate. The city's unique geographical setting, surrounded by the Pir Panjal range, significantly impacts its weather patterns. Over the past decade, Srinagar has witnessed a notable warming, with average high temperatures increasing by 5.61°C (10.10°F) and lows by 1.85°C (3.32°F). This recent trend is more pronounced than the all-time warming, where highs have risen by 0.41°C (0.74°F) and lows by 0.72°C (1.30°F). Despite the long-term warming, the past decade's accelerated increase highlights a concerning shift in the local climate dynamics.

Temperature Extremes and Records

Srinagar has recorded extreme temperatures, with a maximum of 39.7°C (103.5°F) and a minimum of -19.97°C (-3.95°F). These records underscore the city's capacity for both intense heat and severe cold, reflecting its continental climate influences. The warming trend, particularly in the last decade, suggests that these extremes might become more frequent, posing challenges for local infrastructure and agriculture.

Precipitation Patterns and Distribution

The Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) is a measure of how rainfall is distributed throughout the year. Srinagar's PCI has decreased from a baseline of 14.56 to a current value of 10.01. This significant reduction indicates that precipitation is now more evenly spread across the year, reducing the risk of intense, concentrated rainfall events that can lead to flooding. This shift towards a more balanced distribution of precipitation is a positive development for the region, potentially mitigating some impacts of climate change.

Regional Climate Goals and Implications

India's commitment to addressing climate change includes enhancing climate resilience in vulnerable regions like Jammu and Kashmir. The observed warming and changes in precipitation patterns in Srinagar align with broader regional climate trends. These shifts necessitate adaptive strategies to safeguard the local environment and economy. Recent weather events, such as unseasonal rainfall and heatwaves, further highlight the urgency of implementing effective climate action plans.

Future Considerations for Srinagar

The dual trends of warming and more evenly distributed precipitation suggest a complex future for Srinagar's climate. As the city continues to experience these changes, understanding the interplay between temperature and precipitation will be crucial for developing sustainable adaptation strategies. The ongoing monitoring of these trends will provide valuable insights into the evolving climate narrative of this picturesque yet vulnerable region.

Station Statistics

10-Year Trend

High: +5.62 °C/decade

Low: +1.86 °C/decade

Rain: +0.97 mm/decade

25-Year Trend

High: -0.99 °C/decade

Low: +0.78 °C/decade

Rain: +0.59 mm/decade

50-Year Trend

High: +0.41 °C/decade

Low: +0.72 °C/decade

Rain: +0.20 mm/decade

All-Time Trend

High: +0.41 °C/decade

Low: +0.72 °C/decade

Rain: +0.03 mm/decade

Percentage Above-Average Days

Last 12 Months: 57.5%

This Year: 64.8%

Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) ℹ️

Last 12 Months: 9.7

Historical Average: 14.6

Percentile Rank of Last 12 Months ℹ️

High: 76th percentile

Low: 98th percentile

Rain: 96th percentile

Change in Variance ℹ️

High: -11.4%

Low: +5.8%

Intraday: -1.5%

Data Coverage

53.9%

First Year of Data

1901

Station Location

Historical Weather Records

Max HighAvg HighMin HighMax AvgAvg AvgMin AvgMax LowAvg LowMin LowMax PrecipitationAvg PrecipitationMax SnowAvg Snow
Record39.7 °C-6.3 °C31.7 °C-9.2 °C27.5 °C-20.0 °C199.9 mm
January15.8 °C6.6 °C-6.3 °C8.5 °C1.5 °C-8.6 °C5.5 °C-3.4 °C-17.7 °C147.8 mm2.1 mm
February20.0 °C9.0 °C-4.5 °C11.6 °C4.0 °C-7.5 °C7.4 °C-1.5 °C-20.0 °C77.4 mm2.6 mm
March27.0 °C13.9 °C-1.8 °C19.7 °C8.7 °C-5.3 °C12.2 °C2.4 °C-15.3 °C88.9 mm3.3 mm
April30.0 °C19.3 °C2.9 °C24.6 °C13.5 °C-0.5 °C15.8 °C6.4 °C-8.7 °C84.1 mm3.1 mm
May34.2 °C23.7 °C7.2 °C26.1 °C17.5 °C4.0 °C21.4 °C10.1 °C-0.4 °C60.2 mm2.0 mm
June39.7 °C27.7 °C12.0 °C31.7 °C21.4 °C9.5 °C26.6 °C13.9 °C4.4 °C65.8 mm1.3 mm
July37.0 °C29.1 °C16.4 °C31.4 °C23.6 °C14.1 °C27.5 °C17.2 °C8.2 °C199.9 mm2.0 mm
August36.0 °C28.8 °C16.3 °C30.1 °C23.0 °C13.9 °C26.0 °C16.7 °C7.3 °C67.3 mm2.1 mm
September33.8 °C26.6 °C13.0 °C26.5 °C19.4 °C8.4 °C21.4 °C12.1 °C0.9 °C102.4 mm1.3 mm
October31.1 °C21.6 °C5.0 °C23.1 °C13.3 °C3.2 °C18.1 °C5.8 °C-1.9 °C65.4 mm1.0 mm
November24.4 °C14.8 °C1.0 °C16.0 °C7.1 °C-3.0 °C8.5 °C0.7 °C-12.7 °C79.1 mm0.7 mm
December18.0 °C9.1 °C-4.2 °C9.9 °C2.8 °C-9.2 °C5.2 °C-2.4 °C-16.4 °C100.7 mm1.2 mm

Data Visualisations

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Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical

Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Max Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Min Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Average Temperature this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Rainfall this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Relative Humidity this Year
Current Year Climate Trends vs Historical - Max Wind Gusts this Year

Max Temperature this Year | 1 of 6

Climate 12-Month Moving Averages

Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Max Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Min Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Average Temperature 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Rainfall 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Relative Humidity 12-Month MA
Climate 12-Month Moving Averages - Peak Wind Gust 12-Month MA

Max Temperature 12-Month MA | 1 of 6

Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year

Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Max Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Min Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Temperature Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Relative Humidity Throughout Year
Daily Data Points and Averages Throughout the Year - Average Peak Wind Gust Throughout Year

Average Max Temperature Throughout Year | 1 of 5