Climate for Station: Kurgan-Tyube, Khatlon, Tajikistan

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Karcha

Khatlon, Tajikistan

2026-03-01 07:31

8.7°C

Feels 7°C

H: 22.7°C / L: 8.7°C

Precip: 0mm | Wind: 10.4 kph

▲ 8.1°C vs historical high

Sunny

2026-03-02

H: 20.9°C

L: 11°C

Rain: 0%

Rainfall: 0mm

Wind: 11.2kph

▲ 6.0°C

2026-03-03

H: 20.7°C

L: 11°C

Rain: 0%

Rainfall: 0.04mm

Wind: 7.6kph

▲ 6.1°C

2026-03-04

H: 17.2°C

L: 13.4°C

Rain: 82%

Rainfall: 8.62mm

Wind: 15.1kph

▲ 2.1°C

2026-03-05

H: 13.6°C

L: 10.7°C

Rain: 85%

Rainfall: 13.77mm

Wind: 24.5kph

▼ 2.3°C

2026-03-06

H: 18.8°C

L: 8.8°C

Rain: 0%

Rainfall: 0mm

Wind: 9.4kph

▲ 3.0°C

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Climate Analysis & Overview

Kurgan-Tyube, located in southern Tajikistan, is experiencing a notable warming trend, particularly in low temperatures. The region's precipitation is slightly more concentrated, indicating potential shifts in seasonal rainfall patterns. These changes align with broader regional climate goals aimed at understanding and adapting to climate variability.

Warming Low Temperatures

Kurgan-Tyube, situated in a region characterised by a cold desert climate (BWk) under the Köppen classification, is witnessing significant thermal changes. Over the past decade, the low temperatures have increased by 1.92°C (3.46°F), a substantial rise compared to the all-time trend of 0.35°C (0.63°F). This suggests a pronounced warming in the cooler parts of the day, which may affect local agriculture and water resources. The high temperatures have seen a smaller increase, with a 10-year trend of 0.10°C (0.18°F) and an all-time trend of 0.15°C (0.27°F), indicating a consistent but less dramatic warming of daytime temperatures.

Precipitation Patterns and Concentration

The Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) for Kurgan-Tyube has shown a slight increase from a baseline of 18.46 to a current value of 18.92. This suggests that precipitation events are becoming marginally more concentrated, occurring in fewer, more intense episodes. While this change is not drastic, it could indicate shifts towards more sporadic rainfall, which might challenge water management and agricultural planning in the region. Understanding these patterns is crucial for adapting to potential impacts on local ecosystems and water supply.

Temperature Extremes

Extreme temperatures in Kurgan-Tyube reflect its harsh climatic conditions. The station has recorded an absolute maximum temperature of 46.0°C (114.8°F) and a minimum of -20.5°C (-4.9°F). These extremes highlight the variability and potential challenges faced by the region, particularly in terms of heatwaves and cold snaps. Such conditions necessitate robust infrastructure and adaptive strategies to mitigate their impacts on human health and economic activities.

Regional Climate Context

Tajikistan's mountainous terrain significantly influences its climate, contributing to the variability seen in Kurgan-Tyube. The region's climate goals focus on resilience and adaptation, recognising the need to manage water resources effectively and mitigate the impacts of climate change. Recent weather events, such as unseasonal rainfall and temperature fluctuations, underscore the importance of these goals. By understanding these trends, Kurgan-Tyube can better prepare for future climatic shifts, ensuring sustainable development and environmental protection.

Station Statistics

10-Year Trend

High: +0.10 °C/decade

Low: +1.92 °C/decade

Rain: +0.64 mm/decade

25-Year Trend

High: +0.16 °C/decade

Low: +0.19 °C/decade

Rain: +0.24 mm/decade

50-Year Trend

High: +0.37 °C/decade

Low: +0.33 °C/decade

Rain: +0.00 mm/decade

All-Time Trend

High: +0.15 °C/decade

Low: +0.35 °C/decade

Rain: +0.01 mm/decade

Percentage Above-Average Days

Last 12 Months: 58.4%

This Year: 66.0%

Precipitation Concentration Index (PCI) ℹ️

Last 12 Months: 18.9

Historical Average: 18.5

Percentile Rank of Last 12 Months ℹ️

High: 67^th percentile

Low: 99^th percentile

Rain: 98^th percentile

Change in Variance ℹ️

High: -7.5%

Low: +0.5%

Intraday: -20.8%

Data Coverage

96.1%

First Year of Data

1929

Station Location

Historical Weather Records

	Max High	Avg High	Min High	Max Avg	Avg Avg	Min Avg	Max Low	Avg Low	Min Low	Max Precipitation	Avg Precipitation	Max Snow	Avg Snow
Record	46.0 °C	—	-12.5 °C	38.1 °C	—	-18.8 °C	29.9 °C	—	-20.5 °C	162.3 mm	—	—	—
January	22.3 °C	8.2 °C	-12.5 °C	14.6 °C	3.0 °C	-18.8 °C	12.5 °C	-1.1 °C	-20.2 °C	30.1 mm	1.2 mm	—	—
February	28.8 °C	11.9 °C	-9.6 °C	18.1 °C	5.9 °C	-15.0 °C	12.3 °C	1.2 °C	-20.2 °C	143.6 mm	1.6 mm	—	—
March	35.3 °C	17.8 °C	-3.4 °C	25.8 °C	11.4 °C	-5.8 °C	17.6 °C	6.1 °C	-13.5 °C	162.3 mm	2.0 mm	—	—
April	37.0 °C	24.7 °C	4.5 °C	29.7 °C	17.7 °C	0.5 °C	23.2 °C	11.4 °C	-1.8 °C	38.4 mm	1.4 mm	—	—
May	41.3 °C	30.6 °C	8.8 °C	34.0 °C	23.1 °C	7.1 °C	26.2 °C	15.6 °C	4.0 °C	31.1 mm	0.8 mm	—	—
June	44.0 °C	36.0 °C	20.6 °C	36.1 °C	27.8 °C	16.0 °C	28.8 °C	18.7 °C	9.1 °C	26.4 mm	0.1 mm	—	—
July	46.0 °C	37.6 °C	28.1 °C	38.1 °C	29.3 °C	22.6 °C	29.9 °C	20.0 °C	11.0 °C	6.0 mm	0.0 mm	—	—
August	42.8 °C	35.8 °C	25.0 °C	35.0 °C	27.0 °C	19.5 °C	29.5 °C	17.8 °C	9.4 °C	3.9 mm	0.0 mm	—	—
September	40.2 °C	31.6 °C	17.3 °C	33.3 °C	22.0 °C	10.9 °C	23.5 °C	12.8 °C	1.3 °C	8.6 mm	0.0 mm	—	—
October	38.1 °C	25.3 °C	3.5 °C	28.9 °C	15.9 °C	0.5 °C	20.5 °C	8.2 °C	-4.2 °C	45.1 mm	0.3 mm	—	—
November	31.8 °C	17.5 °C	-4.2 °C	22.9 °C	9.6 °C	-7.8 °C	17.2 °C	3.7 °C	-15.0 °C	110.3 mm	0.8 mm	—	—
December	24.3 °C	10.6 °C	-8.9 °C	15.8 °C	4.8 °C	-15.4 °C	11.5 °C	0.4 °C	-20.5 °C	28.5 mm	1.0 mm	—	—